Pocket maths: the birthday bet

Pt En This post has the purpose of presenting a result that may seem counterintuitive and that can provide a really nice excuse for a wager between you and one or more of your friends. For this post, when I talk about a birthdate I am only referring to the day and month of birth, and not the year. What is the probability that you and your best friend have the same birth day and month? Even without an exact number one knows that you are much more likely to have different birthdates than having equal birthdates. Assuming all $366$ days are equally likely, the probability that two people have the same birthdate is $\frac{1}{366} \approx 0.27\%$ and the probability that the birthdate is different is $\frac{365}{366} \approx 99.73\%$. How many people do you need so that the probability of existing at least two sharing the birthdate is higher than the probability of everyone having different birthdates? What would your guess be? It only takes $23$ people. If you have a group of $23$...